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منتدى العملات العام لمتابعة كل ما يتعلق بتجارة العملات الاجنبية والذهب والنفط من اخبار وطرق المتاجرة وتحليلات ، قسم التوصيات – توصيات العملات لمتابعة توصيات ونقاط الدخول والخروج على مختلف العملات ، منتدى الدروس التعليمية يحتوي على دروس تعليمية لسوق العملات والتحليل الفني والاساسي وادارة رأس المال ، منتدى المؤشرات والاكسبيرتات يحتوي على اهم المؤشرات مع شرح لها بالاضافة الى بعض الدروس

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Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

منتدى تداول العملات العام

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قديم 03 - 04 - 2017, 03:51 PM   #21
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF
IBEX: Triple Three Elliott Wave Structure

In this Technical blog we’re going to take a quick look at the past Elliott Wave chart of IBEX chart from March 22,2017 and we are going to explain the structure & see how the index continued the rally afterwards.

IBEX 1 Hour March 22 London updated chart



Above chart is showing Elliott wave Triple three sequence remains in progress within the cycle from 2/08 lows, in Minute degree and index was showing 9 swings bullish sequence from that cycle favoring more upside extension as far as dips remains above 9877 second wave ((x)) connector low (9877). Also the sequence from 9877 low looks to be impulsive rather then corrective, thus creating a possible Elliott wave zigzag structure was in progress. According to Elliott wave theory Zigzag is a 3 wave structure having internal subdivision of (5-3-5) swing sequence where internal subdivisions are labeled as A, B, C where A = 5 waves, B = 3 waves and C = 5 waves. This means that A and C can be impulsive or diagonal waves. Also the A and C waves must meet all the conditions of 5 wave structure, such as: having an RSI divergence between wave subdivisions, ideal Fibonacci extensions, ideal retracements etc. So our Strategy was to buy the Intraday Minutte wave (b) pullback from 50-764% fib ret area ( 10110-9991 ) blue box area for another extension higher in the index provided the pivot at 9877 low remains intact or for 3 wave bounce at least.

IBEX 1 Hour March 31 NY Midday updated chart



Index found the buyer’s from the blue box area as expected & ended wave (b) pullback at 10110 low. Up from there index started the another 5 waves as expected in wave (c) higher & now should be ideally looking for 10545 – 10652 area next week and make a 3 wave pull back at least from there. We don’t like the selling but 10545 is the area for longs from 10110 to book profits and RSI divergence at the peak should stay intact for the 5 waves in (c) idea to remains valid. Note if it gets erased during the next high, then it could end up being a (w) – (x) – (y) triple three structure from 9887 low.



Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 04 - 04 - 2017, 01:08 PM   #22
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

EURJPY Elliott wave View: More downside

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) can be complete already at 117.8 and wave ((x)) bounce should correct cycle from 3/28 peak (120.445) before pair turns lower. As pair is showing a 5 swing bearish sequence from 3/12 peak as well as from 12/14/2016 peak, more downside is expected in the pair. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear once wave ((x)) bounce is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 3/28 high is intact in the first degree.

1 Hour EURJPY Elliott Wave Chart 04.04.2017



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قديم 04 - 04 - 2017, 07:05 PM   #23
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

Crude Oil (CL_F) Elliott Wave View: 5 Wave Impulse

Crude Oil (CL_F) started rallying from 03/22 low in a bullish structure which still needs another leg higher to become 5 impulsive waves. The instrument ended the minute wave (( iv )) at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement area 49.96 from which it managed to bounce higher to resume the move to the upside looking to reach the minimum target of minute wave (( v )) at the inverse 1.236 – 1.618 Fibonacci extension of minute wave (( iv )) that will be at 51.02 – 51.37 area. An other methods for calculating the 5th wave is by measuring (( v )) = (( i )) which gives us a target around the equal legs area at 51.27 – 51.61 and the last methods would be the 61.8 Fibonacci extension of waves (( i )) + (( iii )) that gives us a higher target around 52.19 area.
After ending 5 waves up, Crude Oil should make a 3 wave pull back and extend higher provided 5 waves up from 03/22 low is not part of an expanded FLAT. In either case, from one of the above mentioned area, we can see Crude Oil pulling back in 3 waves at least. We don’t like selling it even after wave ((v)) up has completed as we don’t pick tops or bottoms and instrument has a bullish 5 swings sequence in the daily chart also.

Crude Oil (CL_F) 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 4.4.2017



Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 06 - 04 - 2017, 11:36 AM   #24
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

EURJPY Elliott wave View: Continuation lower

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 117.38 and Minute wave ((x)) bounce is proposed complete at 118.78. Down from 118.78, if pair can see 1 more minor low, the decline can be defined as 5 waves impulse and the 5 waves move should complete Subminutte wave a, then it should bounce in Subminutte wave b to correct the cycle from 118.78 high before pair turns lower again. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce and expect sellers to appear once Subminutte wave b is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing provided that pivot at 4/5 high (118.78) stays intact in the first degree.

EURJPY 1 hour Elliott Wave Chart 04.06.2017




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قديم 07 - 04 - 2017, 12:49 PM   #25
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

EURJPY Elliott wave View: Further downside

Short term Elliott Wave view in EURJPY suggests that cycle from 3/12 peak (122.89) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minor wave W ended at 119.28 and Minor wave X ended at 120.45. Minor wave Y is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 117.38 and Minute wave ((x)) bounce is proposed complete at 118.79. Pair has resumed the decline lower and the decline is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Subminutte wave a ended at 117.33 and Subminutte wave b ended at 118.43. Near term, while bounces stay below 118.79, but more importantly below 120.45, expect pair to extend lower. We don’t like buying the proposed bounce.

EURJPY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart



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قديم 07 - 04 - 2017, 12:50 PM   #26
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

Dubai Index ( DFMGI ) Elliott Wave View

DFMGI tracks Dubai Financial Market which is the largest financial trading exchange in the United Arab Emirates. Dubai has emerged as a global city and business hub of the Middle East , it’s contently growing bigger and becoming one of most expensive city in the world. The Dubai Financial Market (DFM) was founded on 2000, looking at it’s index chart you may say it’s quite different from the rest but we do believe in EWF that there is only one market and every instrument is related to another. Which explain having a different structure or sequence doesn’t necessarily mean that’s trading on it’s own, because the bigger cycles are the same among the different groups of the market.

DFMGI Elliott Wave View

Last year, DFMGI rallied like the rest of world Indices and we can notice that it has a bullish structure in wave (1) unfolding as 5 impulsive waves from January 2016 low followed by a flat correction during the middle of the year in wave (2) and finally it managed to resume the rally from November lows to be make new high.
The index recently ended wave 2 pullback as a double three correction reaching equal legs area 3467 – 3423 from which it bounced higher and still needs to break above February peak to open more extension to the upside. The correction in wave 2 may persist if DFMGI manage to break 03/29 low but it should remain supported while the pivot at 3195 low keeps holding.



Zooming out to the weekly chart, we can notice that early this year DFMGI broke above the descending trend-line from 2014 peak which is confirming the bullish reversal started last year. Consequently if the Index manage to resume higher then the next target for the bulls would come around 4213 – 4840 area.



In case DFMGI holds below February peak and the pivot at November low gives up , then the Index could have ended the whole cycle from 2016 low and it will be looking to do a deeper correction toward the 50%-61.8 % Fibonacci area ( 3169 – 3034 ) before it can resume the move higher.



Recap:
DFMGI is one of the important Indices in the Middle East , its sharing the same cycle with the rest of world Indices and suggesting that there should be more upside to come if it manage to hold above November 2016 low. A deeper correction may happen but the Index will remain supported as it ended a corrective cycle and has a bullish structure in the bigger time frames.



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قديم 07 - 04 - 2017, 01:18 PM   #27
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

NG #F (Natural Gas) rally is not over yet

NG #F (Natural Gas) has been rallying since forming a low on 2/22 (2.523). Rally is unfolding as a WXY or double three Elliott Wave Structure where wave W completed at 3.089 and wave X completed at 2.882. Up from red X low, Natural Gas is showing 5 swings up which means the sequence is incomplete and while above black ((x)) low at 3.121, rally should continue higher towards 3.452 – 3.587 to complete 7 swings sequence from red X low. This would also complete a WXY structure from 2.523 low and then we should see a 3 wave pull back in NG #F either to correct the cycle from 2.523 low or at least from red X low.

NG #F (Natural Gas) 4 Hour Elliott Wave Chart



NG #F (Natural Gas) 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

Rally to 3.237 completed wave ((w)) which was followed by a FLAT correction to 3.121 which completed wave ((x)). Up from there, it rallied in 3 waves to 3.347 to complete wave (w) and then did a 3 wave pull back to 50 Fibonacci retracement level at 3.234 which we think completed wave (x). Today, Natural Gas started rallying again and now it needs to break above 3.347 (w) high to confirm wave (x) completed at 3.234 and wave (y) higher is in progress. Until 3.347 high doesn't break a test of 3.224 – 3.197 area can’t be ruled out to complete a double three correction in wave (x). Break above 3.347 would initially expose a test of 3.375 – 3.408 area and from there we can see another 3 wave pull back followed by the next leg higher towards 3.461 – 3.514 area which is the 100 – 123.6 Fibonacci extension area of (w)-(x) and will coincide with 100% Fibonacci extension of higher degree red W-X at 3.452.




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قديم 11 - 04 - 2017, 12:07 PM   #28
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

CL_F Elliott Wave View: Ending a cycle

Short term Elliott Wave view in Crude Oil (CL_F) suggests that cycle from 3/22 low (47.01) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 50.85 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 49.88. Minute wave ((y)) is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 52.94 and Minutte wave (x) pullback ended at 51.49. Near term, while pullbacks stay above 51.51, focus is on 53.71 – 54.61 area to complete Minor wave 1 and end cycle from 3/22 low, then Crude Oil should pullback in Minor wave 2 to correct cycle from 3/22 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling CL_F and expect buyers to appear once Minor wave 2 pullback is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing for an extension higher.

CL_F 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 04/11/2017






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قديم 12 - 04 - 2017, 11:20 AM   #29
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

CL_F Elliott Wave View: Mature Cycle

Short term Elliott Wave view in Crude Oil (CL_F) suggests that cycle from 3/22 low (47.01) is unfolding as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((w)) ended at 50.85 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 49.88. Minute wave ((y)) is in progress and the internal is unfolding also as a double three Elliott wave structure where Minutte wave (w) ended at 52.94 and Minutte wave (x) pullback ended at 51.49. Cycle from 3/22 low is mature but near term, while pullbacks stay above 51.49, Crude has scope to extend higher to 53.71 – 54.61 area to complete Minor wave 1 and end cycle from 3/22 low, then Crude Oil should pullback in Minor wave 2 to correct cycle from 3/22 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the pullback and expect buyers to appear once Minor wave 2 pullback is complete in 3, 7, or 11 swing for an extension higher.

CL_F 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart 04/12/2017




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قديم 13 - 04 - 2017, 12:59 PM   #30
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

Gold Elliott Wave View: Ending Impulse

Short term Elliott Wave view in Gold (XAUUSD) suggests that cycle from 4/10 low (1246.92) is unfolding as an impulse Elliott wave structure where Minutte wave ((i)) ended at 1257.2, Minutte wave (ii) ended at 1250.8, Minute wave (iii) ended at 1279.75, Minute wave (iv) ended at 1271.69 and Minute wave (v) of (a) is in progress towards 1291.99 – 1296.84 area before cycle from 4/10 ends and the yellow metal see a correction in Minutte wave (b). We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers to appear again once Minutte wave (b) is over in 3, 7, or 11 swings provided that pivot at 4/10 low (1246.92) remains intact.

Gold 1 hour Elliott Wave Chart 04/13/2017




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Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

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