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منتدى العملات العام لمتابعة كل ما يتعلق بتجارة العملات الاجنبية والذهب والنفط من اخبار وطرق المتاجرة وتحليلات ، قسم التوصيات – توصيات العملات لمتابعة توصيات ونقاط الدخول والخروج على مختلف العملات ، منتدى الدروس التعليمية يحتوي على دروس تعليمية لسوق العملات والتحليل الفني والاساسي وادارة رأس المال ، منتدى المؤشرات والاكسبيرتات يحتوي على اهم المؤشرات مع شرح لها بالاضافة الى بعض الدروس

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Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

منتدى تداول العملات العام

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قديم 21 - 03 - 2017, 10:03 PM   #11
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF
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المشاركة الأصلية كتبت بواسطة Ayoub Ben Rejeb مشاهدة المشاركة
The original text is in English so I have to maintain the copyright
شكرا لك اخي



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قديم 22 - 03 - 2017, 01:46 PM   #12
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Near bounce

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally to 115.48 on 3/10 ended Intermediate wave (X). Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure in which the first leg Minor wave A is subdivided in 5 impulsive waves. Down from 3/10 high, Minute wave () ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.195, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 112.88 and Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 113.56. Cycle from 3/10 high is mature and Minor wave A has enough extension to be called complete, but more downside towards 110.088 – 111.12 area can’t be ruled out to complete Minor wave A. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave B in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/10 high before the decline resumes. We do not like buying the proposed bounce in Minor wave B and expect sellers to appear when Minor wave B bounce is done in 3, 7, or 11 swing later for another extension lower.

USDJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.22.2017



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Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 23 - 03 - 2017, 12:26 PM   #13
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Mature cycle

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally to 115.48 on 3/10 ended Intermediate wave (X). Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure in which the first leg Minor wave A is subdivided in 5 impulsive waves. Down from 3/10 high, Minute wave () ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.195, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.71 and Minute wave ((iv)) is proposed complete at 111.59. Cycle from 3/10 high is mature and Minor wave A has enough extension to be called complete, but a marginal low towards 100 – 110.5 area can’t be ruled out to complete Minor wave A. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave B in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 3/10 high before the decline resumes. We do not like buying the proposed bounce in Minor wave B and expect sellers to appear when Minor wave B bounce is over in 3, 7, or 11 swing later for another extension lower.

USDJPY 1 Hour Chart 03.23.2017




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 24 - 03 - 2017, 02:03 PM   #14
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: More downside

We are taking the more aggressive view in USDJPY and calling the rally to 115.48 on 3/10 as Intermediate wave (B). Decline from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension in wave 3. Down from 115.48, Minor wave 1 ended at 114.46 and Minor wave 2 ended at 115.2. Minor wave 3 is extended and further subdivided into 5 impulse waves where Minute wave () ended at 114.49, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 114.82 and Minute wave ((iii)) is proposed complete at 110.714. Minute wave ((iv)) currently is in progress as a Flat Elliott Wave structure towards 111.7 – 112.3 area before pair turns lower in Minute wave ((v)) of 3. Afterwards, pair should bounce in Minor wave 4 and later on still see further downside to complete Minor wave 5 towards as low as 106.85 – 108.5 area. Bounces therefore are expected to be limited and shallow.

If current bounce is getting too big, then as an alternate, the move lower in USDJPY from 115.52 high is unfolding as a zig zag Elliottwave structure where Minor wave A ended at 110.58 low with subdivision of 5 impulsive waves . Current bounce will then be Minor wave B to correct decline from 3/10 high (115.52) before pair resumes lower again in Minor C. This alternate view is the less aggressive view but still calling for more downside in the pair as far as pair stays below 3/10 high. In both views (aggressive and less aggressive), we don’t like buying the pair.

1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 24 - 03 - 2017, 02:04 PM   #15
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

AUDUSD Elliott Wave View: Pullback in progress

AUDUSD is showing 5 swings sequence from 12/23/2017 low after it managed to break above 02/23 peak so the sequence is bullish against Intermediate wave (X) low (0.7487). The pair did 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09 low in Minute wave ((a)) which ended at 03/23 peak (0.7749) and currently doing Minute wave ((b)) pullback that’s unfolding as a double three structure. We expect Minute wave ((b)) to complete in the blue box equal legs area (0.7571 – 0.7544) where AUDUSD can resume the rally for new highs or bounce in 3 waves at least. If the pair manage to get above (0.7683) high before reaching the inflection area then there is a chance that Minute wave ((b)) ended and the next leg to the upside started already. We don’t like selling the pair and expect buyers to appear in above mentioned area for new highs above wave ((a)) or a 3 wave bounce at least.

AUDUSD 1 H Chart



Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 28 - 03 - 2017, 02:14 PM   #16
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Extension lower

We are taking the more aggressive view in USDJPY and calling the rally to 115.48 on 3/10 as Intermediate wave (B). Decline from there is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension in wave 3. Down from 115.5, Minor wave 1 ended at 114.46 and Minor wave 2 ended at 115.2. Minor wave 3 is extended and further subdivided into 5 impulse waves where Minute wave () ended at 112.88, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 113.56 and Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of 3 is proposed complete at 110.077. Minor wave 4 bounce is currently in progress towards 111.27 – 112.02 area, which is 23.6 – 38.2 retracement of Minor wave 3, before further downside is seen to complete Minor wave 5 towards as low as 106.85 – 108.5 area. Bounce is expected to be limited and shallow.

If the current bounce gets too big, then as an alternate, the move lower in USDJPY from 115.5 high is unfolding as a zig zag Elliottwave structure where Minor wave A ended at 110.077 low with subdivision of 5 impulsive waves . In this alternative view, current bounce will then be bigger as it’s a Minor wave B bounce to correct decline from 3/10 high (115.52), but still as far as pivot at 115.2 stays intact, pair should resume lower again in Minor C. This alternate view is the less aggressive view but still calling for more downside in the pair as far as pair stays below 3/10 high. In both views (aggressive and less aggressive), we don’t like buying the pair.

1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.28.2017




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 28 - 03 - 2017, 04:42 PM   #17
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDCHF Intraday Elliott Wave View

USDCHF decline from 3/7 (1.0170) high to 3/22 (0.9879) low could be viewed as a 5 swing move that we have labeled as Elliott wave ((a)). Bounce to 0.9960 was a three move and completed Elliott wave ((b)). Pair has since dropped to a new low below 0.9879 confirming the view that wave ((b)) ended at 0.9960. Decline from 0.9960 – 0.9809 was again in 5 swings and completed wave (i) of ((c)). Pair has already done 3 wave bounce to 0.9868 which could be all of wave (ii) and pair can now resume the decline in wave (iii). Pair doing small 5 waves from 0.9868 high will add conviction to this view but we would need to see a break below 0.9809 low to confirm wave (ii) ended at 0.9868 and wave (iii) of ((c)) lower is in progress. Until then, another push higher towards 0.9884 – 0.9901 area can’t be ruled out to complete wave (ii) as a double three w-x-y structure. In either case, as pair is showing an incomplete bearish sequence down from 3/7 (1.0170) high, we expect the bounces to fail below 0.9960 high for extension lower and in case of another push, expect the pair to find sellers in 0.9884 – 0.9901 area. This view remains valid as far as price stays below 0.9960 high. Ideal target for wave ((c)) lower to complete is in the region of 0.9684 – 0.9569 and we can see the pair turning higher from there in 3 waves at least.

USDCHF 1 Hour Elliott Wave chart – Wave (ii) completed
Pair showing small 5 waves from blue wave (ii) peak will add conviction to this view and a break below 0.9809 will confirm this idea.



USDCHF 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart – Wave (ii) in progress
Pair has already done 3 waves up from 0.9809 low and has minimum number of swings in place to call wave (ii) completed. However, while above 0.9809 low, another 3 swings higher and a test of 0.9884 – 0.9901 area can’t be ruled out to complete wave (ii) as a 7 swing structure before decline resumes. In either case, expect rallies to fail below 0.9960 high for extension lower in USDCHF.




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 29 - 03 - 2017, 02:10 PM   #18
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Ending a cycle

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.07. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave ((i)) ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.07. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

Wave B bounce is unfolding as an Expanded Flat Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 110.82 and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.15. Minute wave ((c)) of B ideally ends at 111.13 – 111.42 area or 1.236 – 1.618 extension of Minute ((a)) and ((b)) and from the area, pair should then either resume to a new low or at least pullback in 3 waves. However, due to the nature of an expanded Flat structure, wave C of a Flat can extend even beyond 1.618 extension. In other words, cycle from 3/27 low ideally ends at 111.13 – 111.42, but can also extend a bit higher and still considered to be part of the same Flat structure starting from 3/27 low. The more important invalidation level therefore is the pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) and wave B bounce should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and the bounce is expected to stay below 115.53 for the next extension to the downside. We don’t like buying the pair.

1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.29.2017




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 30 - 03 - 2017, 02:24 PM   #19
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Flat correction

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.589. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave () ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.7, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.59, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.59. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

Wave B bounce is unfolding as an Expanded Flat Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 111.48 and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.077. Minute wave ((c)) of B ideally ends at 111.29 – 111.65 area or 1.236 – 1.618 extension of Minute ((a)) and ((b)) and from the area, pair should then either resume to a new low or at least pullback in 3 waves. However, due to the nature of an expanded Flat structure, wave C of a Flat can extend even beyond 1.618 extension. In other words, cycle from 3/27 low ideally ends at 111.29 – 111.65, but can also extend a bit higher and still considered to be part of the same Flat structure starting from 3/27 low. The more important invalidation level therefore is the pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) and wave B bounce should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and the bounce is expected to stay below 115.53 for the next extension to the downside. We don’t like buying the pair.

1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.30.2017




Ayoub Ben Rejeb غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 31 - 03 - 2017, 12:40 PM   #20
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افتراضي رد: Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

USDJPY Elliott wave View: Extended bounce

Short term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that cycle from 3/10 peak (115.53) has ended with Minor wave A at 110.077. Decline from 115.53 is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott wave structure with an extension where Minute wave () ended at 114.46, Minute wave ((ii)) ended at 115.19, Minute wave ((iii)) ended at 110.59, Minute wave ((iv)) ended at 111.34, and Minute wave ((v)) of A ended at 110.077. USDJPY ended cycle from 3/10 peak and correcting that cycle in Minor wave B bounce in 3, 7, or 11 swing.

Revised view suggests that Minor wave B bounce is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 111.426 as 5 waves diagonal and Minute wave ((b)) ended at 110.96. Minute wave ((c)) of B is in progress as 5 waves and expected to complete at 112.31 – 112.63 area before pair resumes lower or at least pullback in 3 waves. As far as pivot at 3/10 high (115.53) stays intact, expect pair to extend lower or at least pullback in 3 waves once Minor wave B is complete.

1 Hour USDJPY Elliott Wave Chart 03.31.2017




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Elliott Wave Analysis by EWF

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